Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.001410 0.001501 0.001595 0.001699 0.001812 0.001929 0.002062
2024-10-20 0.001261 0.001383 0.001513 0.001664 0.001832 0.002015 0.002230
2024-10-27 0.001168 0.001312 0.001471 0.001658 0.001874 0.002117 0.002412
2024-11-03 0.001065 0.001219 0.001392 0.001602 0.001851 0.002138 0.002496
2024-11-10 0.001018 0.001186 0.001378 0.001616 0.001905 0.002246 0.002683
2024-11-17 0.000963 0.001138 0.001343 0.001601 0.001921 0.002307 0.002812
2024-11-24 0.000930 0.001115 0.001334 0.001616 0.001971 0.002408 0.002994
2024-12-01 0.000880 0.001068 0.001293 0.001587 0.001965 0.002438 0.003083
2024-12-08 0.000842 0.001032 0.001265 0.001573 0.001974 0.002485 0.003196
2024-12-15 0.000809 0.001002 0.001241 0.001561 0.001986 0.002535 0.003313
2024-12-22 0.000783 0.000980 0.001226 0.001561 0.002010 0.002602 0.003454
2024-12-29 0.000754 0.000952 0.001202 0.001547 0.002016 0.002642 0.003558
2025-01-05 0.000728 0.000929 0.001187 0.001547 0.002044 0.002720 0.003730
2025-01-12 0.000692 0.000891 0.001150 0.001516 0.002029 0.002737 0.003814
2025-01-19 0.000668 0.000869 0.001133 0.001511 0.002049 0.002804 0.003974
2025-01-26 0.000630 0.000826 0.001086 0.001462 0.002004 0.002774 0.003986
2025-02-02 0.000616 0.000815 0.001083 0.001474 0.002047 0.002875 0.004201
2025-02-09 0.000594 0.000793 0.001062 0.001461 0.002051 0.002917 0.004327
2025-02-16 0.000583 0.000784 0.001060 0.001474 0.002095 0.003019 0.004552
2025-02-23 0.000559 0.000758 0.001033 0.001448 0.002079 0.003030 0.004631
2025-03-02 0.000541 0.000739 0.001014 0.001435 0.002082 0.003069 0.004756
2025-03-09 0.000525 0.000722 0.000998 0.001425 0.002088 0.003113 0.004892
2025-03-16 0.000513 0.000710 0.000989 0.001425 0.002109 0.003181 0.005070